2024 Market Outlook – Defying Gravity: Navigating The New Normal
2023 emerged as a year of resilience and unexpected positive turns, defying the new normal of higher interest rates, which were expected to exert pressure on the economy and markets.
2023 emerged as a year of resilience and unexpected positive turns, defying the new normal of higher interest rates, which were expected to exert pressure on the economy and markets.
We are delighted to turn the calendar on a year that served investors a double whammy as both equities and fixed income investments suffered double digit losses. Markets are expected
2022 will be a defining point in the current market cycle. The world is finally moving past the effects of covid and entering a normalization phase for economic growth and
The roaring ’20s are back. The global response to COVID from governments and central banks hit the reset button for the global economy, and we are reentering the expansionary phase
2020 will be defined by the three C’s: Consumer, Credit, and China. The return to a prolonged period of easy money policies and idling central banks lowers the risk for
The markets hit the reset button at the end of the year. We expect the sledding to be tough this year, but that doesn’t mean that the trip is over.
The return of broad-based global economic growth last year pushed the markets to new highs. This year we expect the markets to continue the climb upwards, but the path will
2017 is shaping up to a be a year in which the future direction of politics and economic policies are decided. Click the link to read how we view the
Before we begin to discuss our outlook for the upcoming year, we feel it’s appropriate to take a step back and evaluate where we are, where we’ve come from, and
In the dimly lit corridors of monetary policy, the Federal Reserve is chasing a ghost – the elusive “neutral rate” of interest, or r*. This phantom benchmark, where policy neither
The seas of the market are vast and deep, yet in recent years, a few oversized fish have captured all the attention, creating waves impossible to ignore. These ‘Magnificent 7’
The familiar narrative of foreign markets poised to outshine the U.S. has once again emerged. Yet, time and again, America’s markets have proven these expectations wrong. Fueled by relentless innovation,
The Republican clean sweep in Washington has set the stage for what many are calling “Trumponomics 2.0.” With the deck now stacked in their favor, we’re being dealt a new
Many investment concepts, tools, and strategies are cloaked in vague complexity, allowing some money managers an air of sophistication. Instead, we believe in cutting through the confusion by educating investors
Investors have long turned to public fixed income investments for their traditional attributes of income generation, capital preservation, and safety during volatile markets. However, we now find ourselves navigating through
“A good golfer has the determination to win and the patience to wait for the breaks.” – Gary Player
In the midst of recession fears, a banking crisis, and historically high interest rates, the S&P 500 is up 7% YTD. Meanwhile the corresponding equal weighted index of the same
Investing and game theory have a lot in common, and one TV program that demonstrates the intersection between the two is “Let’s Make a Deal.”
Domestic Equities U.S. equity markets experienced broad gains in the fourth quarter, marked by significant shifts in market leadership. Early in the quarter, the so-called “Trump Trade” drove small caps, financials, and other cyclical sectors to the forefront as investors anticipated policy benefits from a Trump victory. However, after the election and as the quarter progressed, this trend lost momentum.
Global equity markets sustained their upward trajectory in the third quarter, although the ride was bumpier than in previous months. Several key factors contributed to this volatility, including concerns about the U.S. economy and labor markets, the unwinding of the USD-Yen carry trade, global central banks beginning their rate-cutting cycles, and China’s announcement of a significant economic stimulus package. Investors
The economic momentum from the first quarter of 2024 continued into the second, resulting in another positive period for equity markets. Initial concerns over central bank rate cuts due to strong April data eased, reviving hopes for a soft landing. Inflation in the services sector remained a concern, reducing expected rate cuts by Western central banks. U.S. equities performed well,
Global asset class performance in the first quarter of 2024 diverged after a strong rally in the final months of 2023, as markets adjusted expectations for policy rate cuts in major developed economies. While the US saw robust 3.4% GDP growth in Q4 2023, the UK and Europe entered a technical recession. China’s ongoing property sector challenges weighed on its
After a shaky start to the quarter, US equities experienced a significant rally following the Federal Reserve’s indications that interest rate cuts could be on the horizon. Domestic Equities After a shaky start to the quarter, US equities experienced a significant rally following the Federal Reserve’s indications that interest rate cuts could be on the horizon. Concurrently, there was an
The third quarter of 2023 saw the euphoric optimism that propelled the “Magnificent Seven” stocks and broad indices higher, abruptly give way to renewed concerns regarding the Federal Reserve’s policy action, or future inaction. The initial vigor of July, extending the strong uptrend from the first half of the year, gave way to a notable shift in sentiment during August
The first half of 2023 has concluded following a second quarter that saw concern on the direction of markets and the economy giving way to resilient data and optimistic sentiment. Throughout the quarter, investors received earnings reports, economic indicators, and banking sector news displaying that the worst-case scenario of an imminent, banking led recession in the US was not in
Markets, and more importantly, investor expectations, fluctuated drastically throughout the first three months of 2023. Beaten down areas came out of the gates quickly as they forcefully rallied on optimism that global central banks would soon halt rates. This soft-landing hope quickly sputtered as markets faced a banking crisis and thoughts of tighter financial conditions leading to a larger than
Although the famed Santa Rally sputtered out, Q4 was a net positive for stocks and bonds after a dismal third quarter. The story of a hawkish Fed, high inflation, and a strong labor market remained. As we enter the new year, there is growing discussion on if the economy might enter a recession as many leading indicators have turned negative.
S&P 500: +2.91% DOW: +3.69%
NASDAQ:+3.69% 10-YR Yield: 4.62%
S&P 500: -1.94% DOW: -1.86%
NASDAQ:-2.4% 10-YR Yield: 4.76%
S&P 500: -0.48% DOW: -0.60%
NASDAQ:-0.52% 10-YR Yield: 4.60%
S&P 500: -1.99% DOW: -2.25%
NASDAQ:-1.74% 10-YR Yield: 4.53%
S&P 500: -0.64% DOW: -1.82%
NASDAQ:+0.33% 10-YR Yield: 4.39%
S&P 500: +0.96% DOW: -0.60%
NASDAQ:+3.34% 10-YR Yield: 4.15%
S&P 500: +1.67% DOW: +1.96% NASDAQ:+1.72% 10-YR Yield: 4.41%
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: +0.24% DOW: +0.94% NASDAQ:-0.94% 10-YR Yield: 3.91%
S&P 500: +0.24% DOW: +0.94% NASDAQ:-0.94% 10-YR Yield: 3.91%
S&P 500: +3.93% DOW: +2.94% NASDAQ: +5.29% 10-YR Yield: 3.88%
S&P 500: -0.04% DOW: -0.60% NASDAQ: -0.18% 10-YR Yield: 3.94%
S&P 500: -2.06% DOW: -2.10% NASDAQ: -3.35% 10-YR Yield: 3.79%
S&P 500: -0.83% DOW: 0.75% NASDAQ: -2.06% 10-YR Yield: 4.19%
S&P 500: -1.97% DOW: 0.72% NASDAQ: -3.6% 10-YR Yield: 4.18%
Stocks and bonds continued their decline as the week kicked off, following Friday’s
Stocks found more footing to start the week while the
The so-called “Santa Rally” fell short to start off the
Markets open cautiously, eyeing inflation optimism and Fed concerns, with
U.S. markets rose ahead of the Fed’s expected rate cut,
Geopolitical tensions and central bank rate cuts dominate market focus,
Markets opened strong as optimism grew over Scott Bessent’s nomination
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks,
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks,
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks,
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks,
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks,
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks,
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks,
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks,
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks,
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks,
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks,
We kicked off the week heading into the Labor Day
We kicked off the week heading into the Labor Day
Further selling continued on Monday on weaker economic data stoking
Further selling continued on Monday on weaker economic data stoking
The stock market stumbled into Monday’s session on unsure footing
Sign up to receive our weekly market commentary, direct to your inbox.