2024 Market Outlook – Defying Gravity: Navigating The New Normal
2023 emerged as a year of resilience and unexpected positive turns, defying the new normal of higher interest rates, which were expected to exert pressure on the economy and markets.
2023 emerged as a year of resilience and unexpected positive turns, defying the new normal of higher interest rates, which were expected to exert pressure on the economy and markets.
We are delighted to turn the calendar on a year that served investors a double whammy as both equities and fixed income investments suffered double digit losses. Markets are expected
2022 will be a defining point in the current market cycle. The world is finally moving past the effects of covid and entering a normalization phase for economic growth and
The roaring ’20s are back. The global response to COVID from governments and central banks hit the reset button for the global economy, and we are reentering the expansionary phase
2020 will be defined by the three C’s: Consumer, Credit, and China. The return to a prolonged period of easy money policies and idling central banks lowers the risk for
The markets hit the reset button at the end of the year. We expect the sledding to be tough this year, but that doesn’t mean that the trip is over.
The return of broad-based global economic growth last year pushed the markets to new highs. This year we expect the markets to continue the climb upwards, but the path will
2017 is shaping up to a be a year in which the future direction of politics and economic policies are decided. Click the link to read how we view the
Before we begin to discuss our outlook for the upcoming year, we feel it’s appropriate to take a step back and evaluate where we are, where we’ve come from, and
Investors have long turned to public fixed income investments for their traditional attributes of income generation, capital preservation, and safety during volatile markets. However, we now find ourselves navigating through
“A good golfer has the determination to win and the patience to wait for the breaks.” – Gary Player
In the midst of recession fears, a banking crisis, and historically high interest rates, the S&P 500 is up 7% YTD. Meanwhile the corresponding equal weighted index of the same
Investing and game theory have a lot in common, and one TV program that demonstrates the intersection between the two is “Let’s Make a Deal.”
The failure of Silicon Valley Bank was caused by a run on the bank. The company was not, at least until clients began rushing for the exits, remotely insolvent. But
Linear regression is a simple statistical method most of us are familiar with if we have ever taken an introductory course in statistics. Linear regression is used to model the
An easy way to determine if an investment is a good deal or not is to compare your forecasted rate of return to a risk free rate such as a
Waterloo Capital is thrilled to announce Evette Mock-Hernandez has joined the team as Senior Relationship Manager. Evette’s experience as a trusted relationship manager will enhance the Waterloo client experience. With
Help From The Hill The coronavirus pandemic has quickly changed life around the world, impacting individuals, families, and businesses. The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act was passed
The economic momentum from the first quarter of 2024 continued into the second, resulting in another positive period for equity markets. Initial concerns over central bank rate cuts due to strong April data eased, reviving hopes for a soft landing. Inflation in the services sector remained a concern, reducing expected rate cuts by Western central banks. U.S. equities performed well,
Global asset class performance in the first quarter of 2024 diverged after a strong rally in the final months of 2023, as markets adjusted expectations for policy rate cuts in major developed economies. While the US saw robust 3.4% GDP growth in Q4 2023, the UK and Europe entered a technical recession. China’s ongoing property sector challenges weighed on its
After a shaky start to the quarter, US equities experienced a significant rally following the Federal Reserve’s indications that interest rate cuts could be on the horizon. Domestic Equities After a shaky start to the quarter, US equities experienced a significant rally following the Federal Reserve’s indications that interest rate cuts could be on the horizon. Concurrently, there was an
The third quarter of 2023 saw the euphoric optimism that propelled the “Magnificent Seven” stocks and broad indices higher, abruptly give way to renewed concerns regarding the Federal Reserve’s policy action, or future inaction. The initial vigor of July, extending the strong uptrend from the first half of the year, gave way to a notable shift in sentiment during August
The first half of 2023 has concluded following a second quarter that saw concern on the direction of markets and the economy giving way to resilient data and optimistic sentiment. Throughout the quarter, investors received earnings reports, economic indicators, and banking sector news displaying that the worst-case scenario of an imminent, banking led recession in the US was not in
Markets, and more importantly, investor expectations, fluctuated drastically throughout the first three months of 2023. Beaten down areas came out of the gates quickly as they forcefully rallied on optimism that global central banks would soon halt rates. This soft-landing hope quickly sputtered as markets faced a banking crisis and thoughts of tighter financial conditions leading to a larger than
Although the famed Santa Rally sputtered out, Q4 was a net positive for stocks and bonds after a dismal third quarter. The story of a hawkish Fed, high inflation, and a strong labor market remained. As we enter the new year, there is growing discussion on if the economy might enter a recession as many leading indicators have turned negative.
The volatility experienced in the first half of the year continued in the third quarter. Most asset classes rebounded strongly to start the quarter on indications that inflation may be topping and inklings that central banks may relent their tightening cycles sooner-than-expected. Subsequent inflation data, however, forced the hand of the Federal Reserve to continue tightening and led Jerome Powell
2022 has been a rare year in the markets as both stocks and bonds are down simultaneously. The second quarter was tumultuous as global markets battled with stubbornly higher prices, continuing supply constraints, cooling economic data, and elevated interest rates. Stateside, the Federal Reserve took decisive action in their attempt to curb the strongest inflation reports seen in decades by
S&P 500: -4.25% DOW: -2.93% NASDAQ:-5.77% 10-YR Yield: 3.71%
S&P 500: +0.24% DOW: +0.94% NASDAQ:-0.94% 10-YR Yield: 3.91%
S&P 500: +0.24% DOW: +0.94% NASDAQ:-0.94% 10-YR Yield: 3.91%
S&P 500: +3.93% DOW: +2.94% NASDAQ: +5.29% 10-YR Yield: 3.88%
S&P 500: -0.04% DOW: -0.60% NASDAQ: -0.18% 10-YR Yield: 3.94%
S&P 500: -2.06% DOW: -2.10% NASDAQ: -3.35% 10-YR Yield: 3.79%
S&P 500: -0.83% DOW: 0.75% NASDAQ: -2.06% 10-YR Yield: 4.19%
S&P 500: -1.97% DOW: 0.72% NASDAQ: -3.6% 10-YR Yield: 4.18%
We kicked off the week with a rebound in stocks, fueled by dip-buying after last week’s sell-off.
We kicked off the week heading into the Labor Day weekend with some slight turbulence. The major megacap names, which have been key drivers of recent gains, weighed on broader indices.
We kicked off the week heading into the Labor Day weekend with some slight turbulence. The major megacap names, which have been key drivers of recent gains, weighed on broader indices.
Further selling continued on Monday on weaker economic data stoking recession fears, the Yen carry trade unwind, and mega-cap profit taking.
Further selling continued on Monday on weaker economic data stoking recession fears, the Yen carry trade unwind, and mega-cap profit taking.
The stock market stumbled into Monday’s session on unsure footing following last week’s notable shift away from recent top performers.