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April 30, 2018 – Weekly Market Commentary

A historic meeting between Korean leaders, the Bank of Japan removes its inflation target goal, Q1 GDP came in above expectations, and thought leaders focused on the potential for a historic earnings season, why external selling pressures may be fading, and why the probability of blockbuster equity returns will decline in coming years.

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April 23, 2018 – Weekly Market Commentary

The yield curve flattened further, oil supply and demand move closer to normalizing, Trump named two more Fed officials, and thought leaders focused on improving S&P 500 profit margins, why a flatter yield curve may not spell disaster for this year and the risks and rewards of different Fed strategies late in the economic cycle.

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April 16, 2018 – Weekly Market Commentary

China vowed to keep its economy open and avoid a full-scale trade war, US inflation data continued to trend higher, the Fed is confident that the economy will continue growing this year, and thought leaders focused on the potential for blockbuster Q1 S&P 500 earnings, why recent volatility drivers may fade from investors’ views, and why foreign stocks may be a better bet than US stocks over the long-term.

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April 9, 2018 – Weekly Market Commentary

Trade complications between the US and China continued, the new Fed Chair and vice chair of the policy-setting committee may not see eye to eye on potential trade risks, the S&P 500 tripled last year’s number of 1% price swings, and thought leaders focused on how tighter financial conditions affect stocks and why Washington isn’t all to blame for the recent surge in volatility.

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April 2, 2018 – Weekly Market Commentary

Washington crackdown on Chinese investment, Britain’s lagging economy, a new market for oil futures, Saudi Arabia gets promoted, politics are raising the prospects of economic uncertainties, and how to navigate the rapid increase in market volatility.

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Q1 2018 Market Commentary

Global markets entered correction territory and struggled to recover amidst protectionist trade discussions. How did major asset classes react rebound in volatility? Waterloo’s Q1 2018 market commentary breaks down the results of a tumultuous start to the year.

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March 26, 2018 – Weekly Market Commentary

The US and China traded tariffs, the UK and the EU crossed an important Brexit milestone, the Fed raised rates, and thought leaders focused on why there are still opportunities for investment in emerging markets and how the markets have realigned following recent sell-offs.

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March 19, 2018 – Weekly Market Commentary

Key inflation data shows weakness in US prices, Larry Kudlow will head the White House National Economic Council, bond traders are shying away from US Treasuries, and thought leaders focused on why rising rates may spell the end of the bull market, why short-term volatility shouldn’t keep investors out of the markets, and why the fallout from trade regulations will hit emerging markets first.

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March 12, 2018 – Weekly Market Commentary

Gary Cohn resigned, President Trump signed a tariff order, the US jobs report blew away expectations, the ECB turned more hawkish, and thought leaders focused on how companies are spending their tax-cut savings, why market returns may be lower in the future and why higher volatility may be more worrisome than rising interest rates.

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March 5, 2018 – Weekly Market Commentary

President Trump proposed metal tariffs, Jerome Powell completed his first congressional testimony as the new head of the Federal Reserve, China paved the way for its president to lead indefinitely, eurozone inflation slowed, populist parties scored big in the Italian elections, and thought leaders focused on which asset class has the most to lose from potential trade wars, and the market implications of the Italian election.

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2018 Market Outlook

The return of broad-based global economic growth last year pushed the markets to new highs. This year we expect the markets to continue the climb upwards, but the path will be more volatile.

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