Posts by Trey Graham

Weekly Market Commentary

Michael Sheetz – CNBCConsumer Confidence Soars to Highest Level Since 2004Summary: Consumer sentiment beat expectations and rose to its highest level since 2004. The rise was driven by broad-based optimism. All age and income groups reported confidence in economic prospects. The data indicates that consumer spending will continue to improve this year. 

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October 9, 2017 – Weekly Market Commentary

Jeff Cox – CNBCUS Lost 33,000 Jobs in SeptemberSummary: US payrolls declined by 33,000 in September versus an expected increase of 90,000. The decline is believed to have been driven by the effects of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma and was the first monthly decline in seven years. On a positive note, wages grew at a 2.9% annualized rate and the unemployment rate dropped to a 16-year low of 4.2%. 

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October 2, 2017 – Weekly Market Commentary

Janet Yellen said that the Fed plans to raise rates despite low inflation, U.S. capital goods orders beat expectations, Republicans released a new tax reform framework, Q2 GDP was revised upward due to stronger business spending, and thought leaders focused on the difficulties of implementing new tax rules, the market implications of the German elections, and why the market rally will continue into Q4.

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September 25, 2017 – Weekly Market Commentary

The Fed announced plans to unwind its balance sheet, peripheral eurozone economies are catching up to core leaders, global growth forecasts are anticipating the largest increases since 2011, the Bank of Japan left its monetary policy plans unchanged and thought leaders focused on the downtrend in stock buybacks, why consumer spending levels have been so low, and what extremely optimistic investor sentiment levels mean for the markets.

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September 18, 2017 – Weekly Market Commentary

Markets closed at record highs, the UK took a major Brexit step, US tax-reform could be backdated to January 2017, the Bank of England hinted at raising rates, US consumer inflation was higher than expected, and thought leaders focused on why central banks are not the most important factor affecting financial markets.

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September 12, 2017 – Weekly Market Commentary

Trump extended the debt ceiling deadline following the recent storms, Fed Vice-Chairman Fischer resigned, the dollar hit a 2-1/2 year low, the ECB talked about tapering its bond purchase program and thought leaders focused on what the broad-based global expansion means for the US stock market, and why international earnings may have more upside in the current market environment.

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September 5, 2017 – Weekly Market Commentary

North Korea tested its most powerful bomb yet, US GDP was revised higher, Harvey disrupted the energy markets, the EU said the UK is dragging its feet during Brexit negotiations, and thought leaders focused on what “quantitative tightening” means for the markets, and if the recent bout of volatility is a sign of things to come this fall…

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August 28, 2017 – Weekly Market Commentary

North Korea launched a missile over Japan, Congress looks towards the debt ceiling, the ECB President sent the euro soaring, the world is growing in unison for the first time in 10-years, U.S. home sales disappointed, and thought leaders focused on why the debt ceiling matters and whether or not there is a bubble in the bond market.

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August 21, 2017 – Weekly Market Commentary

Japan continued its longest economic expansion in a decade, eurozone peripheral countries are joining the recent expansion, Chinese data disappointed, the Fed is worried about low inflation, and thought leaders focused on why the markets are not topping out, and why we need to rethink how technology and consumer preferences are affecting headline inflation.

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August 14, 2017 – Weekly Market Commentary

Trump’s comments on North Korea rattled the markets, US inflation data came in lower than expected, VIX options trading set a daily volume record, and thought leaders focused on overvaluations in the bond markets, what insights can be gathered from trends in fund flows, and why the markets seem to be ignoring political dysfunction.

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August 7, 2017 – Weekly Market Commentary

The dollar fell for the 5th consecutive month, trading around Trump’s tax proposal loses its luster, the US jobs report surprised on the upside, and thought leaders focused on the potential bubble in the bond market, why the market may be ready for a healthy pullback, and “myths” that are turning investors away from investment opportunities.

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July 31, 2017 – Weekly Market Commentary

The Senate suffered another setback in the battle to repeal the ACA, the Fed held rates steady, oil prices continued to rebound, and thought leaders focused on the markets entering uncharted territory, and how shifting market correlations create global opportunities and the need to rethink portfolio volatility hedges.

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